Sunday, October 23, 2011

In the West helped to topple the tyrants so you need to ensure continued investment to help push the liberated nations

Osama bin Laden and Muammar Gaddafi, dead, Hosni Mubarak and his family behind bars, with millions of dollars in frozen assets, President Ben Ali of Tunisia sentenced to 35 years of absence, the criminal Bosnian war Ratko Mladic awaiting trial in The Hague. We can take a moment to recognize that sometimes things go well -. Removing these five characters in the picture is a blessing

Any questions you have about the death of Qaddafi and the lack of due process (if you can not even decide where to bury a man, a good rule not to kill him), his Death is a reinforcement lesson for people like President Bashar al-Assad of Syria, which is death, torture young demonstrators and President Saleh of Yemen and Bahrain King Hamad, which are soaked in the blood of their compatriots.

knowledge that only 12 months ago Ben Ali, Mubarak and Gaddafi, everything seemed untouchable to the ridiculous-looking butcher of Damascus and his wife scented clutch each other in the early hours in the morning.

the NATO intervention

was right and I would say that now, even if it had not been so well for the rebels during the last three months. At the time of the decision, I was in Tunisia, after the surprise departure of Ben Ali, looking at the chronology of the massacre at Srebrenica in July 1995, when General Mladic men separated from women and young children and moved to the murder of 8,000 people. Benghazi, the eastern city, where Gaddafi has his military training was as vulnerable as the Bosnian enclave. His mercenaries would have created a bloodbath if they had been expelled from the edge of the first air strikes began.

was not optimistic - Libya seemed too big, too smart and rebel forces Gaddafi amateurs desperate. And there is doubt about the Air Force alone could achieve the result he did. But after 26,000 sorties and 9,600 strike missions, and a lot of blood, the regime is gone, David Cameron and Nicolas Sarkozy in silence can make a bow. Both are skilled politicians, however, is not too naive to believe that they were influenced by the memory of what happened in Bosnia.

There is always a moral condition of the intervention, but any decision to act must assess the risk and likelihood of success. Pragmatic considerations apparently also contain a mental element, as the controller, of course, has a duty not to inflame local opinion or create a situation worse than it is trying to alleviate. These conditions are met in Libya, but there was the added incentive of "light sweet" crude oil in the country and the reserves of 46.4bn barrels, which have nothing to do with morality or Srebrenica.

Stage two of the Arab spring begins today with the elections in Tunisia for the Constituent Assembly, in which the Islamist party An-Nahda, headed by Rachid Ghannouchi, is likely to do well. This is the first major test for the West, because we have to allow people who risked everything in the streets to develop their own policies and democratic processes.


youth unemployment and lack of hope milling are the source of the most serious social and political problems throughout the Arab world. The unemployment rate among Tunisians under 25 is about 26%. Half of the 60 000 graduates published in the labor market every year can not find work. These are the most educated and highly organized young singles who had nothing to lose in the uprising, and gained very little in material terms since.

To understand what happened in Tahrir Square, you should know that 54 million of Egypt's population of 82 million are under 30 years and this age group represents 90% of the unemployed country. The unemployment rate is highest among the educated.
The average age is 40 in the UK. The entire Arab world, hovering in the mid 20s. In Egypt, is 24.3, 24.5 Libya, Tunisia and Syria 30 21.9. Factor for regular unemployment in the Middle East 25% among young people - even in the rich countries of the Gulf -. And you know that we are only at the beginning of this particular story


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